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Dangote Refinery: Playing Politics With A $20 Billion Investment

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Dangote Refinery

By Lukmon Akintola

The sleek, sprawling complex of Dangote Refinery, nestled in the Lekki Free Zone area of Lagos, stands as a beacon of industrial ambition. With its state-of-the-art technology and the promise to end Nigeria’s reliance on fuel imports, the $20 billion facility is not just an engineering marvel but a symbol of hope for a nation plagued by energy crises. Yet, behind the scenes, a storm of politics and controversy threatens to derail this monumental project.

The Vision and the Challenge

Aliko Dangote, Africa’s richest man, envisioned the refinery as a solution to Nigeria’s perennial fuel shortages and exorbitant prices. Designed to process 650,000 barrels of crude oil per day, it aims to produce 53 million liters of gasoline, 4 million liters of diesel, and 2 million liters of aviation jet fuel daily. In a country where fuel prices have soared to between N650 and N1,000 per liter, such a facility is not just beneficial—it’s essential.

However, recent months have seen a cloud of allegations and counterclaims swirling around the refinery. The Vice President of Oil and Gas at Dangote Industries Limited (DIL), Devakumar Edwin, set the stage by accusing international oil companies (IOCs) of frustrating the refinery’s operations. According to Edwin, these IOCs have refused to supply crude oil to domestic refiners, preferring instead to sell to international traders at a premium, thus jeopardizing the refinery’s viability.

The Denials and the Drama

Gbenga Komolafe, CEO of the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), swiftly denied these allegations. In an interview on Arise TV, he described Edwin’s claims as “erroneous,” citing the Petroleum Industry Act (PIA) which provides a framework for willing buyer-willing seller transactions. Yet, the controversy didn’t end there.

Adding fuel to the fire, Aliko Dangote recently announced that the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited (NNPCL) no longer holds a 20% stake in the refinery due to failure to meet payment obligations. “NNPC Limited no longer owns a 20 per cent stake in the Dangote refinery. They were meant to pay their balance in June but have yet to fulfil the obligations. Now, they only own a 7.2 per cent stake in the refinery,” Dangote told journalists.

This announcement has sparked speculation that NNPCL, disgruntled over the reduction in its stake, might be actively undermining the refinery’s operations. Critics argue that NNPCL’s failure to meet its agreement with Dangote Refinery is now manifesting in efforts to frustrate the project.

The Stakes for Nigeria

The stakes are high, not just for Dangote and his investors, but for the entire Nigerian populace. With the removal of subsidies on petroleum, Nigerians are experiencing unprecedented fuel prices and shortages. The successful operation of Dangote Refinery could stabilize prices and ensure a steady supply, benefiting millions of Nigerians.

Given the refinery’s potential, one would expect government support to be unequivocal. In many countries, a project of this magnitude would receive substantial government backing, including subventions, tax breaks, and priority in crude oil allocations. However, the reality in Nigeria appears to be more complex and politically charged.

Allegations and Counterclaims

Further complicating the situation, Farouk Ahmed, CEO of the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Authority (NMDPRA), recently asserted that imported diesel surpasses locally refined products in quality. Ahmed alleged that diesel from Dangote Refinery and other modular refineries had sulphur content between 650 to 1200 ppm, compared to the internationally accepted standards.

Dangote quickly rebutted these claims, inviting regulators to test his products against imported diesel. During a tour of the refinery by members of the House of Representatives, Dangote showcased lab results proving his diesel had a sulphur content of 87.6 ppm, significantly lower than the 1800 ppm and 2000 ppm found in imported samples.

“We produce the best diesel in Nigeria. It’s disheartening that instead of safeguarding the market, the regulator is undermining it,” he stated. Dangote emphasized that high-sulphur diesel imports pose health risks and financial losses for Nigerians, urging the purchase and testing of products directly from filling stations to ensure quality.

The Bigger Picture

For Nigerians, the implications of these controversies are profound. The success of the Dangote Refinery is not just a matter of corporate pride but a potential game-changer for the nation’s energy security. The refinery’s ability to meet Nigeria’s fuel needs and reduce prices could have far-reaching economic and social benefits.

Amidst these political and industrial machinations, the question remains: who truly benefits from frustrating the operations of a facility designed to alleviate Nigeria’s energy woes? As allegations continue to fly and the stakes grow ever higher, it becomes increasingly clear that the real victims of this imbroglio are the ordinary Nigerians who stand to gain the most from a fully operational Dangote Refinery.

Conclusion

As the political drama unfolds, the hope remains that reason will prevail and the Dangote Refinery will be allowed to fulfill its potential. In a landscape fraught with challenges, the refinery stands as a testament to what can be achieved with vision and determination. Its success is not just vital for Dangote and his investors, but for the future of Nigeria itself.

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